and even some even on formal University norBefore

Liu Jian, I study more than 20 years, and finally got a doctorate, classmates, colleagues in the majority of outstanding brand of college students. But what I wonder is, why do so many very nice people have mediocre at school? And those who have done great things, most of the people have had great success learning only average grades, and even some even on formal University norBefore? Talent and people are more or less, and luck is basically the same in the larger environment, the biggest difference between thinking and doing things. Recommended reading Deputy Director of Guangdong's Health Department: how many people really understand how a doctor? Possibility euro collapse rose [political] strongman class public opinion reflects the parties [Economic] a "dig pit to be built" [social] leave theWith international practices [hot] behind the illegal construction of Chaoshan airport [literature] leader-known hobby (photo) [literature] 1949: Chiang Kai-shek suffered a fatal blow water skin: funding will return the property market downturn stock market under the reflection, I believe that an important cause of this phenomenon is the successful way of thinking and doing things different. For many yearsAdvantages of school education is a top student while in school swtor credits, but after they enter the real-life disadvantages. To simplify the theory after school education, and real life is much more complex. ����Study on the top, once they become a nerd, with rigid theory to deal with many aspects of the underlying does not conform to the theory of reality, the outcome will inevitably fail. Author's personalInspections are swtor power leveling, the more frequent things more in line with theories, theory for more rare events in the more difficult to explain, but the impact of these rare events over countless daily trifles. ����This extremely rare, but when it does happen and you have a disruptive impact, but there is no modus operandi is simply unpredictable is a Black Swan event. For these great disaster event is raised,Forecasts of experts according to the theory no one can predict, according to expert forecasts and investment management business of institutions and individuals suffered huge losses. In his book the Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb said, who was a committed widespread and easy to create a false impression of "game fallacy": "the uncertainties we face in real life, and we encountered during the tests and gamesSimplified in between there are few similarities. ����"The uncertainty of uncertainty and confusion of Computable real. To cite two examples of the fallacy of the game: the first is the hypothesis of economic man: Economics Economic is the most basic assumption is that everyone who knows all the information, analysis and rational action fully and effectively. I have in stockCompanies worked for 10 years and found that people simply do not exist. ����But do not make such simplifying assumptions, any economic theory could not be established. Second, probability calculation. Just think about your life, no one does not have exactly the same thing. ����Probabilistic inference in real life, individual and group behavior, deviation is large. BooksContent often is to simplify the processing of the living word games and math games, but life is not in itself a game. Should you do? Buffett gave our resort. ����Warren Buffett success of catastrophe insurance business experience has shown that the catastrophe which risks not entirely precise estimation of Black Swans, can only be roughly estimated, with the most cautious manner. Buffett1996 wrote in a letter to shareholders: "computer model will allow policy makers to be a false sense of security, but increase the possibility they made a really big mistake. Insurance or investments we had seen it all of a sudden going to happen. Portfolio insurance (portfolio insurance) are in evidence, inDuring the 1987 stock market crash had devastating consequences, so it was joked that at that time should be jumping from a computer, rather than people. "Don't be mistaken reality theory, don't mistakenly do life game.